Property

South African Property Prices Are Rising—But Affordability Risk Is Rising Too

Residential property prices are rising, but high borrowing costs and growing pressure on household incomes mean that buyers, sellers and landlords must make decisions carefully.

South African residential property prices are continuing to rise, but the latest economic data show that affordability remains under significant pressure.

According to Statistics South Africa’s Residential Property Price Index for March 2026, national residential property prices increased by 8.6% compared with March 2025.

Prices for resold properties increased by 9%, while prices for properties sold for the first time increased by only 1.9%.

The Western Cape recorded the strongest provincial increase at 12.6%. Gauteng recorded more moderate annual growth of 4.8%.

These figures provide useful market direction, but they are broad indicators. They do not mean that every property has increased by the provincial or national average. The value of an individual property still depends on its location, condition, size, security, improvements, demand and recent comparable transactions.

## Affordability remains the central risk

Property-price growth is occurring while many households remain under financial pressure.

Statistics South Africa reported that the official unemployment rate increased to 33.6% in the second quarter of 2026. The expanded unemployment rate, which includes discouraged work seekers, reached 43.8%.

The South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate remains at 7%, with the commercial prime lending rate at approximately 10.5%.

A rate hold prevents another immediate increase in most variable-rate bond repayments, but it is not a rate cut. Existing homeowners and new buyers have therefore not yet received repayment relief.

Global energy-market uncertainty also remains important. Oil prices near $90 a barrel could place renewed pressure on fuel costs, inflation, household budgets and future interest-rate decisions.

## What buyers should do

Buyers should calculate the complete cost of ownership before making an offer.

The monthly bond repayment is only one part of the expense. Buyers should also consider:

* municipal rates and service charges; * sectional-title or homeowners’ association levies; * building and household insurance; * transfer and bond-registration costs; * maintenance and repairs; and * the possibility of future interest-rate changes.

Pre-approval can help establish an initial budget, but buyers should preserve enough room for emergencies and ordinary living expenses.

## What sellers should do

Rising national or provincial prices do not justify an unrealistic asking price.

Sellers should assess recent comparable transactions in the immediate area and consider the property’s condition, position, improvements and likely buyer market.

Overpricing can increase the time spent on the market and may eventually weaken the seller’s negotiating position.

Preparing ownership documents, compliance certificates and maintenance records early can also reduce avoidable delays once a suitable buyer is found.

## What landlords should do

Landlords should balance rental growth against tenant affordability and vacancy risk.

A higher advertised rental is not necessarily more profitable if the property remains vacant or attracts a tenant who cannot sustain the payments.

Good property management should include:

* lawful and consistent tenant screening; * clear written lease terms; * properly documented inspections; * accurate rental statements; * responsive maintenance; * appropriate deposit administration; and * realistic budgeting for vacancies and repairs.

Rental increases should follow the lease and reflect market conditions rather than being applied automatically without considering affordability.

## What tenants should do

Tenants should read the lease carefully before signing, particularly the provisions concerning:

* rental escalation; * deposits; * utilities and additional charges; * maintenance responsibilities; * inspections; * cancellation; and * notice periods.

The incoming condition of the property should be recorded properly, and tenants should retain proof of payments and important written communications.

## A market that requires careful decisions

The latest property-price growth is encouraging for the residential market, particularly for existing owners. However, high borrowing costs and weak household employment conditions mean that buyers, sellers and landlords should continue to make decisions based on affordability, cash flow and property-specific evidence.

Besther Property Services assists with property marketing, rental administration, buyer and seller support, tenant placement and property-management enquiries.

Request a property assessment:

https://www.besther.co.za/contact

Sources:

Statistics South Africa, Residential Property Price Index, March 2026: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?PPN=P0160&SCH=74466&page_id=2643

Reuters, South African unemployment data, 11 August 2026: https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/south-africas-official-unemployment-rate-rises-336-second-quarter-2026-08-11/

Disclaimer: This article provides general property education only. Market averages are not valuations of individual properties. Repayment and affordability decisions depend on the applicant, lender, property and applicable costs. Separate financial, legal or property advice may be required.

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